Guidance Technology Opportunities and Challenges
What subscribers can't find on television is more than just an
inconvenience.
By: Bruce Bahlmann - Contributing Author (your
feedback
is important to us!)
Created:
November 8, 2008
The Electronic Program Guide (EPG) has long been the
nemesis of video services. A key application delivered to video service
consumers, the EPG has become an increasingly complex user interface and yet
the foundation for program information, recommendations, and interactive
applications on Set Top Boxes (STB)s and now on Consumer Electronics (CE)
devices. Much of these features provided by the EPG fall under the general
category of “guidance” and while content and applications for video services
have multiplied like rabbits, the EPG has been slow to develop. The purpose
of this article is to offer some insight into what is holding up progress as
well as opportunities that are brewing as a result.
Challenges
Although the EPG is the face of video services as we
know them, significant challenges exist within their ongoing development and
support including:
Total control – The largest video service providers
(Comcast, Time Warner Cable, and Verizon) insist on building the EPG
themselves rather than customizing a commercial EPG product. The basic idea
behind in-house EPG development is total control over development
priorities, release schedule, look-n-feel, and exclusive use/ownership.
In-house development additionally struggle with the following issues:
- Competition for the best resources – Since
in-house efforts are started with the notion “we can do it better and/or
cheaper and/or faster”, attracting the best and brightest product
managers and software developers is a difficult prospect for such an
organization.
- Competition for EPG – Since in-house efforts don’t
compete against other commercial EPG products, it’s only a matter of
time before the in-house development organization becomes complacent.
Continuous Improvement – Consumers have also become
complacent when it comes to EPG improvements to the point where they become
alarmed (concerned) when changes do occur. Rather than having been trained
to look at “change” as a positive (e.g. ”Cool, there is now a new feature in
my guide”), they react negatively and flood the call centers with questions
about what is wrong with their EPG.
Resource Constraints – EPGs operate within one of the
most unconventional environments from a programming perspective. Instead of
forward software engineering (simply adding new features), the platform must
constantly deal with give and take – giving up certain features for other
new features due to the limited memory and processor speed available.
Backwards Compatibility – Unless video service
providers want to support multiple program guides, they must develop new
software releases down to the lowest capable device – a lowest common
denominator approach to software development. In addition to this, new
software releases need to maintain complicated customer configurations
stored within devices such as parental controls, favorite channels,
preferences, and even DVR recording schedules.
Lack of Manufacturer Support – Up until fairly recently
has Cisco (Scientific Atlanta) sold their own EPG called Scientific Atlanta
Resident Application (SARA) with its STBs. However it has since dropped
support for this platform leaving operators who have been relying on a
steady stream of updates to look elsewhere. Motorola, the largest STB vendor
doesn’t offer an EPG with their product.
Lack of Cross Selling – Subscribers generally have a
hard time finding what is on. In the day of three networks, each network did
a good job of keeping their audience informed about what they were doing
(cross promotion spot). Today, you can’t really do that because there are
just too many channels and it’s not like anyone settles on a single channel
and watches that for more than a single show. Cross selling is also
complicated by commercial zappers, TiVo, etc. that permits users to skip
advertisements promoting future programming. Even with today’s best in class
guidance technology, there is a lot going on that is available from cable,
satellite, or telco that subscribers are not even aware of. As a result,
there is no way, the way (based on typical use) for an individual to come
across things by kismet.
Challenges such as these, work against the EPG being
anything but a Rapid Application Development (RAD) environment so major
software releases take years instead of months and smaller point releases
take months instead of weeks.
Opportunities
In spite of all these challenges, the opportunities in
the guidance market are heating up. The combination of Cisco dropping
support for SARA, the bar raising on EPG functionality and look-n-feel (e.g.
Verizon releasing a fairly significant jump in EPG functionality and Netflix
finding new inroads into the living room via Samsung, Tivo, and X-box), and
a dramatic increase in programming and available entertainment quality video
from multiple sources is challenging the status quote of slow, reliable
changes to the EPG.
Commercial EPGs will become an increasingly viable
option – Challenged with significant lifting of the EPG functionality bar
and an increase in demand for better looking and higher performing EPGs,
in-house efforts to build EPGs that compete with what is available in the
open market will be difficult and prohibitively expensive. I anticipate that
within the coming year one of the three major video service providers
building their own EPG abandons their effort and within three years there
won’t be any video service providers actively building their own EPG – they
will all be using customized Commercial off the Shelf (COTS) EPGs.
Core EPG features will become table stakes – Lets face
it, all EPGs do pretty much the same core things so why all the investment
in trying to differentiate one service from another within an area where
they almost have to work the same anyway. Ultimately it will be the
applications associated with these EPGs that will differentiate one service
provider from another. Sure they will all use different skins, and different
orientations of the same data, but beyond that video service providers will
need to invest in applications that tie together their services and value
added partnerships. Perhaps the way video service providers need to look at
the EPG is the way Internet companies look at the Content Management System
(CMS) running their company websites. Even if Internet companies use the
same CMS, it doesn’t mean they cannot differentiate themselves from a fierce
competitor – it is all about the themes, skins, content, etc. that they use
to differentiate themselves. If video service providers spend fewer
resources on the core development of their EPG, they can afford to spend
more on truly differentiated features.
Guide data will eventually differentiate one EPG from
another – Up till now if you licensed guide data from one of programming
data suppliers such as Tribune Media Services (TMS) or Macrovision (TVGuide)
and had unlimited resources and time you could build an EPG every bit as
good as anything available. However, as guide data grows to include studio
library metadata, Corbis inventory metadata, Netflix recommendations,
YouTube library metadata, your video service provider’s VoD library
metadata, personal digital library, etc. the challenge to incorporate all
this into an EPG becomes gargantuan – perhaps even to the point where such
data relationships wouldn’t be exposed by TMS or Macrovision. Instead, the
only way video service providers will gain access to these high-value data
relationships is through buying an EPG from the data provider who exposes
these data relationships. Through these relationships, video service
providers can then build applications to better cross promote their unique
content.
Conclusions
Without continuous and significant improvement in the
EPG, especially within the guidance technology area, the video product
becomes less and less valuable over time because the value that is in there
becomes more and more difficult to extract from the offering. This results
in a chain reaction which ultimately decreases potential audience numbers
for programmers. However the most significant outcome from programming
choices continuing to multiply like rabbits and EPG development efforts
continuing to plod along slowly, is that the resulting delta increasingly
provides operating room along with multiple business cases for new comers to
rise up and become active participants in not only the guidance of all this
content but potentially in the delivery as well.
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